NFL Betting 2011

NFL Systems help people in handicapping the NFL. Basically bets are placed on the basis of assessments and estimates calculated. Given below are a few of the many NFL Systems.

1. Teams coming off a spread loss or victory of >= 14 points
On the basis of this system, teams that are coming off a game in which the ATS margin ended up >= 14 points are typically harder to handicap in the following week than teams that performed closer to expectations. Of course there can be a number of reasons behind such a lopside.

2. Using Pythagorean Theorem
The Pythagorean Theorem is a starting point in any handicapper’s analysis that gives one a leg up over handicappers who don’t use it. Also, its applications have been extended across many sports by changing the exponent in the formula.

3. Reversion To The Mean
What this system basically refers to is that no matter what a team does in a previous season, it tends to move towards winning 50% of its games the following season.

4. Adding In Subjective Factors
Once you fix up your baseline, you must consider roster changes. Roster Changes include factors like whether a team is peaking or rebuilding, if a lot of old players are retiring or are they being replaced by younger inexperienced players, etc.

5. Coming Off a Bye-Week
Studying trends via this method involves teams that are either coming off a bad result in the last game before their bye, or, have some gaping offensive or defensive deficiencies. These teams have a tendency to improve dramatically when players and coaches have can use an extra week to work on them.